How to use
- Pick a city or region (the default is the United States). The page shows average yearly household spending there; press “Use this number” to start from it, then adjust.
- Enter your age, the age you want to retire and the age you plan to live to. Plan a few years longer than you expect.
- Enter your savings, your monthly contribution and your yearly spending in retirement, not counting rent or a mortgage.
- Open the advanced settings to change the return and inflation, choose housing in retirement (own, rent or still paying a mortgage), and add expected pension income.
The result at the top is the earliest retirement age: the first age, trying one year at a time from now, where your savings last to the age you plan for. Below it you will see your savings at the retirement age you chose, the 4% rule number and a year-by-year table.
How it works
Everything is in today’s money. Real return = (1 + nominal return) ÷ (1 + inflation) − 1.
- Before retiring: at the end of each year you add monthly contribution × 12 (it rises with inflation, so it is constant in today’s money), and the balance grows for a year.
- In retirement: at the start of each year you take out that year’s spending, and the rest grows. Spending = living costs + rent + mortgage (while it lasts) − pension (from the age it starts).
- Mortgage: the payment is fixed, so inflation makes it lighter in real terms until it ends.
- FIRE number: (living costs + rent) ÷ withdrawal rate, 4% by default, without the mortgage or pension. If you enter a pension, a second figure shows the number after pension income.
Example: age 35, $100,000 saved, $1,500 a month, retiring at 60, planning to 90, spending $50,000 a year, 5% return and 2% inflation. The real return is about 2.94%, and savings at 60 come to about $858,000 in today’s money, short of the $1.25 million 4% rule number.
Limits
- Returns and inflation are assumptions. A market drop in the first years of retirement (sequence-of-returns risk) can change the result a lot.
- Taxes and large medical or long-term-care costs are not included.
- The default spending reference is an average across all ages, not retired households.